Top Top 10 Forecasting Tips
By Liz Turner, Loxysoft
- Verify the data.
- If you have an automated feed from your ACD, make sure that the data is coming in every day.
- Verify that the data is matching the reports you receive from the ACD.
- Mark special events.
- Mark them for this year and do the same for next year. You never know when you’ll be asked to run a future long-range forecast.
- Mark “waste days” or “anomalies.”
- Don’t let those anomalies impact your forecast. Whatever tool you have, follow the steps to normalize, exclude etc.
- Make a note of why you did – memory is a fading thing!
- Analyze your data frequently.
- This helps you to know your data and to know what changes are happening that you need to take into account.
- Track your day-of-week changes.
- For example, know if Mondays are becoming lower than Tuesday, etc.
- Knowing the changes will help when you’re building schedules and you notice that the schedules being offered are changing as well.
- Test your settings once or twice a year.
- Watch your forecast accuracy and when you notice it may be slipping, test your settings to see what tweaks you may need.
- Get in the loop!
- If you don’t know what changes are coming, you can’t prepare appropriately for them.
- Work with your management to ensure that you are advised of all changes.
- Make sure to include upcoming changes in your forecast.
- Will it influence the NCO and AHT?
- Will it affect one, many, or all skills?
- Don’t just accept your forecast, review it. Remember, it is only as good as the data you input!
- Look for changes that may indicate you need to perform #4 and #6 above.
- Wednesday’s volume keeps forecasting much higher than Monday, but it doesn’t actually come in that high.
- Look for changes that may indicate you need to perform #4 and #6 above.
- Perform analysis so you know what impacts your FTE needs so you can speak to it.
- Do you know how a 1% swing in utilization affects the FTE need?
- Does a 1% change in utilization = a 1% change in FTEs needed?
- Or does a 1% change = 1.7% change in FTEs needed?
- Do you know what the threshold is where occupancy causes increased AHT?
- What does a 1% change in AHT mean to the FTE needed?
- Do you know how a 1% swing in utilization affects the FTE need?
Liz Turner is a long-time SWPP member and is currently Vice President of Customer Relations at Loxysoft. She may be reached at liz.turner@loxysoft.com.